Here we go again: Putting COVID numbers in context

A disclaimer: COVID-19 is serious. If you don’t take it seriously by following the rather simple alleviation tactics you have available to you (vaccination, mask-wearing, washing hands, etc.), it can kill you. There is a difference, however, between it can kill you and it will kill you, and this is a distinction that is seldom […]

The rise and (hopefully) fall of the Delta variant in the U.S.

NOTE: This post uses several maps from covidestim.org. Here are the keys for each type of map: Using the excellent data visualizations on the covidestim.org site, I noticed an interesting “wave” effect as the Delta variant started to take hold in the United States in late spring. The first reports of significant spread of the […]

More fun with numbers and the media

I’ve found USA TODAY’s “Coronavirus Watch” newsletter very useful during the pandemic. But today’s lede is a perfect example of the type of cherry picking I mentioned yesterday: Is there cause for concern? Numbers are going up, right? Well, yes, but how much? “Alaska and Arkansas more than doubled cases in the last week.” Okay, […]

Keep following the data

It’s been awhile since I took a deep look at the data for COVID infections and vaccinations in St. Clair County and in Michigan, so here we go: According to Bridge Michigan, case numbers have fallen to a point in Michigan where the state will now only update their statistics twice a week. During most […]

COVID-19 and the flu, revisited

COVID-19 isn’t the same as influenza. But the way we end up dealing with it long term may be. As I’ve noted previously, the Rt number, representing the the average number of people who will become infected by a person infected at time “t”, is falling nearly everywhere in the U.S., due to our nation’s […]